I've seen lots of commentary along the lines of "It's doomed to fail because it doesn't have X" (where X is a camera, flash support, desktop-style OS, multitasking support, a hardware keyboard, HDMI output, an open app store, or any of a dozen other features various people consider "must have"). This is wrong. No gizmo can do everything--the question is whether this one does enough.
The iPad isn't intended as (or even capable of being) your primary computing device. It will succeed if it's a more convenient laptop for casual web surfing. It will fail if it's an iPhone which doesn't fit in your pocket.
iPad is a clunky name, but so is MacBook. If it succeeds, nobody will care about the name.
Nine years ago, when Bill Gates announced that everyone would be using Tablet PC's, I don't think he meant "made by Apple."
I have no idea if the iPad will be useful, but for the price I may be willing to take a chance. I've certainly spent more than this on gadgets which didn't meet my expectations in the past. The $500 price is critical in this decision--if it had been $1,000, I would look at it more like a new laptop than a potentially useful toy.
Apple clearly intends to upend the accepted practices of user interface design (practices which Apple was instrumental in popularizing). On the whole, this is a Good Thing, since the desktop user interface is (or has become) far to complicated and technical for a large population of users to properly manage.
1) You're spot on here. It really depends on what you can do with it - it needs a killer app, but I have no idea what that killer app might be.
2) I'm pretty sure that casual web surfing is NOT that killer app. Just an opinion, but...no. I certainly don't think e-reader is it either. Mobile media device? Dunno. I suspect that the killer app is going to be something we have NOT thought of.
3) Doesn't matter what it's called. Only matters what it's good for. So far - we'll see.
5) I'm not (and I suspect a lot of people are not) able/willing to blow $500 on something without a damn good reason. $250? Yea. (In fact, I just blew $250 on an older Fujitsu Stylistic slate-style PC to use as an ebook reader after deciding I didn't like current e-ink readers). I think $500 is just too much for casual adoption. There may be enough early adopters who will pick it up that it will survive to hit a better price point, but I'm not yet sure.
Comments
It's not doomed, but it could be...
1) You're spot on here. It really depends on what you can do with it - it needs a killer app, but I have no idea what that killer app might be.
2) I'm pretty sure that casual web surfing is NOT that killer app. Just an opinion, but...no. I certainly don't think e-reader is it either. Mobile media device? Dunno. I suspect that the killer app is going to be something we have NOT thought of.
3) Doesn't matter what it's called. Only matters what it's good for. So far - we'll see.
5) I'm not (and I suspect a lot of people are not) able/willing to blow $500 on something without a damn good reason. $250? Yea. (In fact, I just blew $250 on an older Fujitsu Stylistic slate-style PC to use as an ebook reader after deciding I didn't like current e-ink readers). I think $500 is just too much for casual adoption. There may be enough early adopters who will pick it up that it will survive to hit a better price point, but I'm not yet sure.
Thanks!