Top Reasons Why This Election Will Be a Landslide

1. The conventional wisdom is that the election will be very close. Conventional wisdom in politics is nearly always wrong.

2. The electoral college system tends to magnify the apparent margin of victory. A popular win of even a couple points can translate into a big margin in the electoral college (not necessarily a bad thing, by the way).

3. If the turnout is as big as everyone thinks it will be, then all the polling models are useless, since they were calibrated in years with lower turnout and voter interest.

4. The media, the incumbent, and the challenger all have a vested interest in making it look close as long as possible, so news that it will be a landslide doesn't get as much play. The candidates need it to look close to motivate their voters to vote; and the media needs to keep it a close race to maintain viewer/reader interest.

5. Another close race could be very bad for confidence in our system; therefore, wishful thinking demands a landslide.